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Kremlinology is the study and analysis of the Soviet government, and subsequently the Russian government, and their policies.Oxford English Dictionary Online, s.v. Kremlinology. The term emerged during the to describe a method of inference developed in response to the opacity and secrecy of the Soviet political system. Named after the , the seat of the former Soviet government, the discipline was pioneered by the works of Boris Nicolaevsky and , among other scholars. By extension, Kremlinology is sometimes used to denote attempts to understand the inner workings of any secretive organization or decision-making process through the interpretation of indirect or symbolic evidence, for example in analyses of contemporary .

, by contrast, refers to the broader interdisciplinary study of the as a political, economic, social, and ideological system.Oxford English Dictionary Online, s.v. Sovietology. Scholars in these fields are distinct from , who study legal, economic and social transitions from communism to market capitalism.


Historiography
Academic Sovietology after World War II and during the was dominated by the "totalitarian model" of the ,
(2005). 9781139446631, Cambridge University Press.
stressing the absolute nature of 's power. The "totalitarian model" was first outlined in the 1950s by political scientist Carl Joachim Friedrich, who argued that the Soviet Union and other were systems, with the and almost unlimited powers of the "great leader" such as Stalin.
(2005). 9781139446631, Cambridge University Press.

The "revisionist school" beginning in the 1960s focused on relatively autonomous institutions which might influence policy at the higher level.

(2005). 9781139446631, Cambridge University Press.
Matt Lenoe describes the "revisionist school" as representing those who "insisted that the old image of the Soviet Union as a totalitarian state bent on world domination was oversimplified or just plain wrong. They tended to be interested in social history and to argue that the Communist Party leadership had had to adjust to social forces." These "revisionist school" historians such as J. Arch Getty and challenged the "totalitarian model" approach to Soviet history and were most active in the Soviet archives.


Techniques
During the , lack of reliable information about the country forced Western analysts to "read between the lines" and to use the tiniest titbits, such as the removal of portraits, the rearranging of chairs, positions at the reviewing stand for parades in , the arrangement of articles on the pages of the party newspaper , and other indirect signs to try to understand what was happening in internal Soviet politics. A classic instance was , at the time an analyst for the , making a key deduction from the choice of capital or small initial letters in the Soviet press in the phrase such as "First Secretary".

To study the relations between Communist fraternal states, Kremlinologists compared the statements issued by the respective national , looking for omissions and discrepancies in the ordering of objectives. The description of state visits in the Communist press were also scrutinized, as well as the degree of lent to dignitaries. Kremlinology also emphasized , in that it noticed and ascribed meaning to the unusual absence of a policy statement on a certain anniversary or holiday.

In the German language, such attempts acquired the somewhat derisive name "Kreml-Astrologie" (Kremlin ), hinting at the fact that its results were often vague and inconclusive, if not outright wrong.


After the Cold War
The term Kremlinology is still in use in application to the study of decision-making processes in the politics of the Russian Federation.
(2026). 9780192896193, Oxford University Press. .
In popular culture, the term is sometimes used to mean any attempt to understand a secretive organization or process, such as plans for upcoming products or events, by interpreting indirect clues.

While the Soviet Union no longer exists, other secretive states still do, such as , for which Kremlinology-like approaches are still used by the Western media. Such study is sometimes called "Pyongyangology", after the country's capital .


See also

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